Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 7:48 AM, 8 voters in 5 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 41,605 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 28,673 - 52,132). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and -93,385 are still outstanding.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 7:48 AM | 572 |
c(2.5% = 402)
|
c(97.5% = 706)
|
| 02 | 7:48 AM | 902 |
c(2.5% = 624)
|
c(97.5% = 1100)
|
| 03 | 7:48 AM | 617 |
c(2.5% = 434)
|
c(97.5% = 836)
|
| 04 | 7:48 AM | 588 |
c(2.5% = 405)
|
c(97.5% = 765)
|
| 05 | 7:48 AM | 1178 |
c(2.5% = 805)
|
c(97.5% = 1403)
|
| 06 | 7:48 AM | 392 |
c(2.5% = 268)
|
c(97.5% = 483)
|
| 07 | 7:48 AM | 272 |
c(2.5% = 170)
|
c(97.5% = 409)
|
| 08 | 7:48 AM | 1257 |
c(2.5% = 879)
|
c(97.5% = 1544)
|
| 09 | 7:48 AM | 770 |
c(2.5% = 563)
|
c(97.5% = 1024)
|
| 10 | 7:48 AM | 915 |
c(2.5% = 634)
|
c(97.5% = 1185)
|
| 11 | 7:48 AM | 391 |
c(2.5% = 271)
|
c(97.5% = 527)
|
| 12 | 7:48 AM | 650 |
c(2.5% = 446)
|
c(97.5% = 826)
|
| 13 | 7:48 AM | 597 |
c(2.5% = 411)
|
c(97.5% = 779)
|
| 14 | 7:48 AM | 244 |
c(2.5% = 166)
|
c(97.5% = 297)
|
| 15 | 7:48 AM | 725 |
c(2.5% = 503)
|
c(97.5% = 892)
|
| 16 | 7:48 AM | 315 |
c(2.5% = 217)
|
c(97.5% = 426)
|
| 17 | 7:48 AM | 745 |
c(2.5% = 518)
|
c(97.5% = 988)
|
| 18 | 7:48 AM | 468 |
c(2.5% = 311)
|
c(97.5% = 532)
|
| 19 | 7:48 AM | 253 |
c(2.5% = 170)
|
c(97.5% = 338)
|
| 20 | 7:48 AM | 223 |
c(2.5% = 145)
|
c(97.5% = 255)
|
| 21 | 7:48 AM | 1414 |
c(2.5% = 975)
|
c(97.5% = 1650)
|
| 22 | 7:48 AM | 1028 |
c(2.5% = 737)
|
c(97.5% = 1381)
|
| 23 | 7:48 AM | 465 |
c(2.5% = 314)
|
c(97.5% = 569)
|
| 24 | 7:48 AM | 368 |
c(2.5% = 246)
|
c(97.5% = 431)
|
| 25 | 7:48 AM | 354 |
c(2.5% = 242)
|
c(97.5% = 436)
|
| 26 | 7:48 AM | 544 |
c(2.5% = 383)
|
c(97.5% = 675)
|
| 27 | 7:48 AM | 437 |
c(2.5% = 273)
|
c(97.5% = 451)
|
| 28 | 7:48 AM | 343 |
c(2.5% = 236)
|
c(97.5% = 467)
|
| 29 | 7:48 AM | 333 |
c(2.5% = 232)
|
c(97.5% = 431)
|
| 30 | 7:48 AM | 610 |
c(2.5% = 415)
|
c(97.5% = 735)
|
| 31 | 7:48 AM | 428 |
c(2.5% = 293)
|
c(97.5% = 511)
|
| 32 | 7:48 AM | 516 |
c(2.5% = 349)
|
c(97.5% = 661)
|
| 33 | 7:48 AM | 314 |
c(2.5% = 199)
|
c(97.5% = 425)
|
| 34 | 7:48 AM | 1213 |
c(2.5% = 837)
|
c(97.5% = 1535)
|
| 35 | 7:48 AM | 656 |
c(2.5% = 436)
|
c(97.5% = 769)
|
| 36 | 7:48 AM | 897 |
c(2.5% = 608)
|
c(97.5% = 1082)
|
| 37 | 7:48 AM | 337 |
c(2.5% = 229)
|
c(97.5% = 441)
|
| 38 | 7:48 AM | 582 |
c(2.5% = 403)
|
c(97.5% = 741)
|
| 39 | 7:48 AM | 1111 |
c(2.5% = 797)
|
c(97.5% = 1411)
|
| 40 | 7:48 AM | 1051 |
c(2.5% = 694)
|
c(97.5% = 1195)
|
| 41 | 7:48 AM | 439 |
c(2.5% = 308)
|
c(97.5% = 591)
|
| 42 | 7:48 AM | 489 |
c(2.5% = 314)
|
c(97.5% = 577)
|
| 43 | 7:48 AM | 395 |
c(2.5% = 256)
|
c(97.5% = 499)
|
| 44 | 7:48 AM | 393 |
c(2.5% = 270)
|
c(97.5% = 510)
|
| 45 | 7:48 AM | 464 |
c(2.5% = 319)
|
c(97.5% = 575)
|
| 46 | 7:48 AM | 769 |
c(2.5% = 529)
|
c(97.5% = 921)
|
| 47 | 7:48 AM | 194 |
c(2.5% = 128)
|
c(97.5% = 225)
|
| 48 | 7:48 AM | 467 |
c(2.5% = 309)
|
c(97.5% = 530)
|
| 49 | 7:48 AM | 669 |
c(2.5% = 449)
|
c(97.5% = 814)
|
| 50 | 7:48 AM | 1126 |
c(2.5% = 798)
|
c(97.5% = 1533)
|
| 51 | 7:48 AM | 641 |
c(2.5% = 437)
|
c(97.5% = 811)
|
| 52 | 7:48 AM | 884 |
c(2.5% = 632)
|
c(97.5% = 1241)
|
| 53 | 7:48 AM | 470 |
c(2.5% = 319)
|
c(97.5% = 585)
|
| 54 | 7:48 AM | 310 |
c(2.5% = 209)
|
c(97.5% = 388)
|
| 55 | 7:48 AM | 606 |
c(2.5% = 432)
|
c(97.5% = 847)
|
| 56 | 7:48 AM | 882 |
c(2.5% = 630)
|
c(97.5% = 1199)
|
| 57 | 7:48 AM | 714 |
c(2.5% = 499)
|
c(97.5% = 903)
|
| 58 | 7:48 AM | 1171 |
c(2.5% = 815)
|
c(97.5% = 1466)
|
| 59 | 7:48 AM | 694 |
c(2.5% = 478)
|
c(97.5% = 876)
|
| 60 | 7:48 AM | 567 |
c(2.5% = 393)
|
c(97.5% = 734)
|
| 61 | 7:48 AM | 708 |
c(2.5% = 465)
|
c(97.5% = 799)
|
| 62 | 7:48 AM | 500 |
c(2.5% = 340)
|
c(97.5% = 638)
|
| 63 | 7:48 AM | 749 |
c(2.5% = 535)
|
c(97.5% = 997)
|
| 64 | 7:48 AM | 419 |
c(2.5% = 298)
|
c(97.5% = 575)
|
| 65 | 7:48 AM | 602 |
c(2.5% = 429)
|
c(97.5% = 812)
|
| 66 | 7:48 AM | 1209 |
c(2.5% = 841)
|
c(97.5% = 1512)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions