Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 7:48 AM, 8 voters in 5 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 41,605 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 28,673 - 52,132). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and -93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 7:48 AM 572 c(2.5% = 402) c(97.5% = 706)
02 7:48 AM 902 c(2.5% = 624) c(97.5% = 1100)
03 7:48 AM 617 c(2.5% = 434) c(97.5% = 836)
04 7:48 AM 588 c(2.5% = 405) c(97.5% = 765)
05 7:48 AM 1178 c(2.5% = 805) c(97.5% = 1403)
06 7:48 AM 392 c(2.5% = 268) c(97.5% = 483)
07 7:48 AM 272 c(2.5% = 170) c(97.5% = 409)
08 7:48 AM 1257 c(2.5% = 879) c(97.5% = 1544)
09 7:48 AM 770 c(2.5% = 563) c(97.5% = 1024)
10 7:48 AM 915 c(2.5% = 634) c(97.5% = 1185)
11 7:48 AM 391 c(2.5% = 271) c(97.5% = 527)
12 7:48 AM 650 c(2.5% = 446) c(97.5% = 826)
13 7:48 AM 597 c(2.5% = 411) c(97.5% = 779)
14 7:48 AM 244 c(2.5% = 166) c(97.5% = 297)
15 7:48 AM 725 c(2.5% = 503) c(97.5% = 892)
16 7:48 AM 315 c(2.5% = 217) c(97.5% = 426)
17 7:48 AM 745 c(2.5% = 518) c(97.5% = 988)
18 7:48 AM 468 c(2.5% = 311) c(97.5% = 532)
19 7:48 AM 253 c(2.5% = 170) c(97.5% = 338)
20 7:48 AM 223 c(2.5% = 145) c(97.5% = 255)
21 7:48 AM 1414 c(2.5% = 975) c(97.5% = 1650)
22 7:48 AM 1028 c(2.5% = 737) c(97.5% = 1381)
23 7:48 AM 465 c(2.5% = 314) c(97.5% = 569)
24 7:48 AM 368 c(2.5% = 246) c(97.5% = 431)
25 7:48 AM 354 c(2.5% = 242) c(97.5% = 436)
26 7:48 AM 544 c(2.5% = 383) c(97.5% = 675)
27 7:48 AM 437 c(2.5% = 273) c(97.5% = 451)
28 7:48 AM 343 c(2.5% = 236) c(97.5% = 467)
29 7:48 AM 333 c(2.5% = 232) c(97.5% = 431)
30 7:48 AM 610 c(2.5% = 415) c(97.5% = 735)
31 7:48 AM 428 c(2.5% = 293) c(97.5% = 511)
32 7:48 AM 516 c(2.5% = 349) c(97.5% = 661)
33 7:48 AM 314 c(2.5% = 199) c(97.5% = 425)
34 7:48 AM 1213 c(2.5% = 837) c(97.5% = 1535)
35 7:48 AM 656 c(2.5% = 436) c(97.5% = 769)
36 7:48 AM 897 c(2.5% = 608) c(97.5% = 1082)
37 7:48 AM 337 c(2.5% = 229) c(97.5% = 441)
38 7:48 AM 582 c(2.5% = 403) c(97.5% = 741)
39 7:48 AM 1111 c(2.5% = 797) c(97.5% = 1411)
40 7:48 AM 1051 c(2.5% = 694) c(97.5% = 1195)
41 7:48 AM 439 c(2.5% = 308) c(97.5% = 591)
42 7:48 AM 489 c(2.5% = 314) c(97.5% = 577)
43 7:48 AM 395 c(2.5% = 256) c(97.5% = 499)
44 7:48 AM 393 c(2.5% = 270) c(97.5% = 510)
45 7:48 AM 464 c(2.5% = 319) c(97.5% = 575)
46 7:48 AM 769 c(2.5% = 529) c(97.5% = 921)
47 7:48 AM 194 c(2.5% = 128) c(97.5% = 225)
48 7:48 AM 467 c(2.5% = 309) c(97.5% = 530)
49 7:48 AM 669 c(2.5% = 449) c(97.5% = 814)
50 7:48 AM 1126 c(2.5% = 798) c(97.5% = 1533)
51 7:48 AM 641 c(2.5% = 437) c(97.5% = 811)
52 7:48 AM 884 c(2.5% = 632) c(97.5% = 1241)
53 7:48 AM 470 c(2.5% = 319) c(97.5% = 585)
54 7:48 AM 310 c(2.5% = 209) c(97.5% = 388)
55 7:48 AM 606 c(2.5% = 432) c(97.5% = 847)
56 7:48 AM 882 c(2.5% = 630) c(97.5% = 1199)
57 7:48 AM 714 c(2.5% = 499) c(97.5% = 903)
58 7:48 AM 1171 c(2.5% = 815) c(97.5% = 1466)
59 7:48 AM 694 c(2.5% = 478) c(97.5% = 876)
60 7:48 AM 567 c(2.5% = 393) c(97.5% = 734)
61 7:48 AM 708 c(2.5% = 465) c(97.5% = 799)
62 7:48 AM 500 c(2.5% = 340) c(97.5% = 638)
63 7:48 AM 749 c(2.5% = 535) c(97.5% = 997)
64 7:48 AM 419 c(2.5% = 298) c(97.5% = 575)
65 7:48 AM 602 c(2.5% = 429) c(97.5% = 812)
66 7:48 AM 1209 c(2.5% = 841) c(97.5% = 1512)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions